The game against Valencia is one of the biggest of Frank Lampard’s tenure. Each possible result is likely to have a huge impact on the Blues qualification hopes. So what could different results against Valencia mean for Chelsea?
If Chelsea win
If the Blues can get the result and three points against Valencia, they will be sat on 10 points from five games. Assuming Ajax beat Lille OSC, they will also be on 10 points with just one game to go.
Chelsea will go three points ahead of Valencia, who will be on seven points. The Spanish side could only reach a maximum of 10 points if this were to happen, so the Blues would need just one point in the final game week to secure qualification.
The final game week sees Ajax and Valencia face each other, whilst the Blues have Lille at home. Seeing as the French side have just one point from four games, the Blues will back themselves to get at least the draw they would need.
If Chelsea Lose
Losing on Wednesday could be a disaster for Lampard’s men. If Ajax were to beat lowly Lille, both them and Valencia would be on 10 points. Chelsea would be on seven.
However, because Ajax play Valencia in the final game, all hope would not be lost. If Ajax or Valencia were to win the game, the Blues could match the 10 points of the losing side if they were to beat Lille, and goal difference would be the deciding factor.
If Ajax and Valencia play out a draw, they would both have 11 points. This would be more than Chelsea could get, and the Blues would be knocked out of the competition.
If Chelsea Draw
If the two teams play out a draw on Wednesday night, both will be sat on eight points, with an equal goal difference. Ajax, if they beat Lille, would be two points better off.
A win against Lille on the final game week would see the Blues finish on 11 points, a sum that only one of Valencia or Ajax could finish on due to their final fixture against one another.
A draw would be by no means a disaster for the Blues, and the Mestalla is a difficult place to go to. Lampard’s team must be at their best to get the result they need to aid them in their quest for the last 16 of the Champions League.